Ok, so here we are...June 20th and heres the mornings 11am outlook from the SPC including images displayed as Outlook, Tornado, and Wind/Hail...looks intense near the ks/ok border, doesn't it? Check out the 'Candy Cane' shape for the MDT risk area...Christmas in June anyone???
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK1103 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2011
VALID 201630Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEB...WESTERN IA...SOUTHEAST SD...EAST KS...
NORTHWEST MO SWD THROUGH CENTRAL OK......
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
PLAINS EASTWARD TO THE OH VALLEY...THEN SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE
CAROLINAS...
...CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS...
UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LOW MOVING FROM CURRENT POSITION SE CO
NEWD ACROSS WRN KS INTO SRN NEB BY 12Z TUE. 60-70KT 500MB JET MAX
WITH ASSOCIATED STRONG ASCENT/DIVERGENCE SPREADING NEWD FROM CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS ACROSS KS INTO NEB THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE LOW OVER
W-CENTRAL KS WILL MOVE SLOWLY NNEWD INTO SRN NEB. THE DRY LINE
EXTENDING FROM THE LOW SWD THRU FAR WRN OK/SWRN TX WILL SHIFT EWD BY
MID AFTERNOON TO EXTEND ON A N/S AXIS VICINITY THE I-35 CORRIDOR.
VERY STRONG SLY WINDS AHEAD OF DRY LINE WILL WRAP NWWD THE MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO N OF SURFACE LOW INTO CENTRAL NEB.
THE STRONG LARGE SCALE ASCENT COUPLED WITH THE POST FRONTAL MOIST
NLY FLOW WRN KS THIS AM HAS GENERATED ELEVATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
BY MID AFTERNOON CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DEVELOP TO SUPPORT AN
OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BOTH ALONG THE DRY LINE AND IN THE
VERY FAVORABLE SHEAR AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT REGION TO THE N/NE OF
THE SURFACE LOW ACROSS NEB.
THE STRONGLY SHEARED PROFILES AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW OVER ERN NEB
COUPLED WITH MLCAPES CLIMBING TO AOA 2000 J/KG EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
TORNADIC SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL OF STRONG TORNADOES GIVEN THE ENVIRONMENT THAT WILL BE IN
PLACE.
DOWN THE DRY LINE SCATTERED SUPERCELLS WILL DEVELOP AS THE CAP
BREAKS BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON. BY THAT TIME MLCAPES WILL HAVE CLIMBED
TO AOA 2500 J/KG SWD TO THE OK/TX BORDER WHICH WHEN COUPLED WITH THE
PRESENCE OF THE MID LEVEL JET MAX AND VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL
RESULT IN A VERY LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL ALONG WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST
WINDS. IT NOW APPEARS COVERAGE OF BOTH THE HAIL AND WIND WILL BE
SUFFICIENT TO UPGRADE THE RISK TO MDT AS FAR S AS THE OKC AREA . THERE WILL ALSO BE THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES GIVEN THE 50-60 KT OF
SHEAR. FURTHER S INTO NCENTRAL TX THE EXPECTED COVERAGE WILL BE
LESS BUT THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
DOWNBURSTS.
Ok, so the setup looks promising and I even left work early just to be able to make it near the OK/KS border in time around 4pm. I began streaming live for Channel 8 at 5pm waiting for the storms to fire along the line forming near the Nebraska/Kansas border. Hey, it was possible. I watched the radar as the line began to backbuild to the south into central Kansa for the next hour waiting. To my west about 60 miles away, I could see the cells struggling to fire. What I remember the most is how damn hot it was. It was close to 97 degrees. Heres a pic of what I saw at the time.
So, seeing that the movement to the east had slowed, it was time to go after the cells heading west on 60 towards Ponca City.
Now I'm about 15 miles to the west, but still short of making it to Ponca City. I'm beginning to loose light and I decide to pull off to the side of the road and wait for the cells that have begun to advance in my direction....finally.
Met up with Justin Mace and his wife Dixie. Very nice people who also love to chase!!!
So the summary is, no Tornadoes seen for the day, but I captures some spectacular images, met some wonderful friends and photos that are definately keepers. Below is the summary for the day by the SPC
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